Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths:
Strong expectation of support from GoI
The ratings factors in an expectation of strong support from LIC and GoI, both on an ongoing basis and in the event of distress. LIC had, on January 21, 2019, completed acquisition of 51% controlling stake in IDBI Bank, infusing total capital of Rs 21,624 crore in the bank. In September 2019, the bank further received capital infusion of Rs 9,300 crore by LIC and GoI which helped it improve the capital ratios and bring it back above the regulatory requirement. Post the acquisition, GoI stake stood at 47.11%. The bank last raised capital in Q3 of fiscal 2021 of around Rs 1435 crores in which LIC/GoI did not participate. As on June 30, 2024, the stake of LIC stood at 49.24% and that of Government of India stood at 45.48%. Given that LIC is a GoI-owned entity and has supported the GoI in its recapitalization programmes for public sector banks in the past, CRISIL Ratings believes that GoI will continue to be involved in matters relating to IDBI Bank. The stability of the banking sector is of prime importance to GoI, given the criticality of the sector to the economy, the strong public perception of sovereign backing for banks with high GoI holding, and the severe implications of any failure in terms of political fallout, systemic stability, and investor confidence.
On October 7, 2022, consequent to the in-principle approval of Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs (CCEA) for strategic divestment of the equity held by GoI and LIC, Department of Investment & Public Asset Management, Ministry of Finance, Government of India (DIPAM) released a Preliminary Information Memorandum (PIM) and also invited Expression of Interest (EoI) from Interested Parties (IP) for a stake sale of upto 60.72% including stake of both, GoI and LIC in IDBI Bank.
CRISIL Ratings will continue to closely monitor the developments and its impact on the outstanding ratings of the bank and take appropriate need-based rating action thereafter. In the interim, CRISIL Ratings’ outstanding ratings on IDBI Bank continue to factor in strong support from LIC and GoI towards IDBI Bank till the divestment process is completed both on an ongoing basis and in the event of distress.
Strong capitalization and healthy deposit profile
The capitalization of the bank remained strong with Tier I and overall CAR (under Basel III) at 20.3% and 22.4% respectively as on June 30, 2024 (20.1% and 22.3% respectively as on March 31, 2024). The bank’s networth remained high and improved to Rs. 53,123 crore as on June 30, 2024 as against 49,881 crore as on March 31, 2024, backed by healthy accruals and support from GoI and LIC in the past. Further, bank’s networth coverage for net NPA improved to 117 times as on June 30, 2024 as against 77.5 times as on March 31, 2024. Capitalisation of the bank is expected to continue to remain strong and is expected to receive need-based supported by GoI and LIC till the divestment process is completed. Any major impact on capitalization with implementation of expected credit loss (ECL) model will remain monitorable.
The bank also has a stable deposit profile of Rs 277,548 crores as on June 30, 2024 (as against Rs 277,657 crores as on March 31, 2024) with current account savings account (CASA) deposits being at 48.57%. While the share of CASA deposits have dipped in the recent quarters, however it continues to remain higher than the banking sector average.
Improving earnings profile
IDBI Bank’s earnings profile has been on an improving trend over the past few quarters. The bank had reported net profit of Rs. 1719 crore and RoA of 1.9% (annualized) in Q1 of fiscal 2025 as against PAT of Rs 5634 crore and RoA of 1.6% in fiscal 2024. The improvement in RoA is attributed to several factors, including a significant reduction in credit costs, controlled operating expenses, recoveries from written-off accounts, and tax refunds. The bank's credit cost decreased to -0.5% (annualized) in Q1 of fiscal 2025, down from 0.4% in fiscal 2024 and 1.1% in fiscal 2023. Similarly, operating expenses as % of average total assets have reduced to 2.1% (annualized) in Q1 of fiscal 2025, compared to 2.4% in fiscal 2024. By optimizing expenses and enhancing productivity, the bank aims to reduce its cost-to-income ratio which stood at 48.6% in the quarter ended June 2024
The improvement in RoA is further supported by the write-back of provisions during Q1 of fiscal 2025. The core Net Interest Margin, (excluding the one-time impact of IT refunds and interest income from NPA and technical write-off accounts), however remained stable, standing at 3.8% for Q1 of fiscal 2025, compared to 3.9% for fiscal 2024. CRISIL Ratings expects that the bank’s earnings profile should sustain at healthier level, driven by controlled credit costs. Same will continue to be monitored.
Improving asset quality metrics
GNPA metrics of the bank had peaked at 27.9% as on March 31, 2018. Since then, bank h as been working on cleaning up its balance sheet and recognizing as well as providing for the GNPAs adequately. As a result, GNPA and NNPA have improved significantly to 3.9% and 0.2% respectively as on June 30, 2024.
The improvement in NPA is majorly owing to reduction in the slippages. Slippages (as a percentage
of opening net advances) stood at 1.3% (annualized) in Q1 of fiscal 2025, against 2.1% in full fiscal 2024. PCR (excluding technical write offs) of the bank has also improved to 94.2% for Q1 of fiscal 2025 as compared to 92.8% for fiscal 2024. Besides high provision coverage, the bank has also accounted for contingent provisions of Rs 1,705 crore as on June 30, 2024, which also provide cushion against any further slippages.
The total SMA 1 and 2 accounts for the bank stood at Rs 2,455 crore as on June 30, 2024, around 1.2% of the total gross advances. Nevertheless, the asset quality remains vulnerable to the macroeconomic factors and thus ability of the bank to continue to improve asset quality while scaling up loan book will remain a monitorable.
Weakness:
Muted growth in overall advances
The growth in the advances book remained muted with gross advances of Rs 2,01,368 crore as on June 30, 2024, compared to Rs. 196,894 crore as on March 31, 2024. While the advances grew by ~14% in fiscal 2024, it remained muted over fiscals 2020 to 2023.
Within the advances book, bank has reduced its corporate book exposure and increased its share of retail advances. As on June 30, 2024, share of retail book (comprising of retail assets, agriculture and MSME) stood at 71% compared to 70% as on March 31, 2024 (69% as on March 31, 2023). Within structured retail assets, around ~71% comprises of home-loans as on June 30, 2024. The bank has grown primarily by increased presence in the retail loan segment, given moderate growth in the corporate loan segment.
Further, CRISIL Ratings notes that the RBI in its initial approval letter to LIC in November 2018, for acquiring stake in IDBI Bank, had stipulated that either IDBI Bank or LIC Housing Finance Limited, both being associates of LIC, have to cease conducting housing finance business within a period of five years, which has been extended by RBI. CRISIL Ratings will continue to closely monitor further developments and its impact on the outstanding ratings of the bank and take appropriate need-based rating action thereafter.